By Ahmed E. Souaiaia, PhD* “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.” These words, posted by US President Donald Trump on Truth Social, were more than a threat—which they were directed against Iran which he attacked without congressional authorization or Read more
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By Ahmed E. Souaiaia, PhD The prevailing narrative from the Trump administration—that the surge in energy prices following U.S. and Israeli military attack on Iran is merely a “temporary” anomaly—fails to account for the fundamental laws of complex systems. By viewing the conflict through a linear lens (Action → Reaction → Resolution), policymakers have overlooked Read more
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The Paradox of Power By Ahmed Souaiaia In the annals of modern conflict, a persistent fallacy plagues the strategic calculus of superpowers: the belief that kinetic dominance equates to political victory. As the United States and Israel engage in escalated hostilities against Iran, the Trump administration faces a stark reality that transcends the battlefield. While Read more
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What happens in SWANA will not Stay in SWANA by Ahmed Souaiaia Abstract: The ongoing crises in Syria and Turkey are deeply intertwined with broader regional dynamics, including the ongoing instability in the Southwest Asia and North Africa (SWANA) region. This article analyzes these events through the lens of the Systems Thinking Framework (STF), which Read more
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By Ahmed E. Souaiaia * Peoples of the Islamic world are quite familiar with the doctrine of “Shock and Awe” as understood and deployed by Colin Powell, a General in US Military the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, during the execution of US wars in Southwest Asia and North Africa, especially in Iraq Read more
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By Ahmed E. Souaiaia * By January 1, BRICS will become the GS-11, perhaps on the way to just the GS—the Global South. After meeting for two days in South Africa, leaders (or their representatives) of five developing nations, known until now as BRICS, invited six nation-states to join the group. Should they accept the Read more
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by Ahmed E. Souaiaia More than ten years ago, the BBC published a photograph, ostensibly supplied to them by activists, claiming that the photograph was depicting the Houla massacre, allegedly committed by the Syrian government. It turned out that the photo was depicting another massacre that took place in Iraq when the United States invaded Read more
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by Ahmed E. Souaiaia* Although human rights abuses occurred and continue to occur in time of peace, committing human rights crimes is more certain in armed conflict. In war, both sides are likely to commit human rights crimes in a premeditated way or in reaction to battle outcomes. Those removed from the battle fields, especially Read more
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by Ahmed E. Souaiaia Hybrid wars, or asymmetrical wars, did not start with the war in Syria. After all, the fall of the Soviet Union, some of whose effects are unfolding before us today, was due, in part, to the war in Afghanistan. Two nuclear powers in an intense competition to control the world, cannot Read more
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